Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was able to count on the absolute support of the United States throughout the war of his country against Gaza.
While the administration of former American president Joe Bidre may have sometimes expressed discomfort in the crises she permeated in Gaza, the administration of Donald Trump has not yet presented similar scruples, even if far in February to suggest that the whole population of Gaza is cleaned ethnically.
American support was vital for the Israel war machine, providing weapons that helped Israel kill more than 63,000 people in Gaza. Diplomatically, he used his veto to the United Nations Security Council to block the ceasefire requests in Gaza, despite the number of deaths.
He also supported Israel at the International Court of Justice, where Israel is accused of genocide and sanctioned international members of the criminal court who issued arrest mandates against Netanyahu and former Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant for war crimes.
The potential complicity of the United States in what many states and agencies recognize as a genocide has been called by rights defense groups, which call it to stop its support for Israel.
But what’s going on if it was? What would happen if the United States ended all support for Israel tomorrow?
We asked four experts what they think: Hamze Attar, defense analyst; Ori Goldberg, Israeli political scientist; Ha Helyer, senior scholarship in the Royal United Service Institute and Center for American Progress; And Daniel Levy, former adviser to the Israeli government.
What would happen internationally?
“I have the impression that many Western states which originally supported Israel now feel particularly helpless and are now really ready for the fall of Israel. For many, even Germany, the post-war bond that linked them to Israel has become so effiled that it will probably not hold the United States.
“I suppose that (if the American support for Israel has ended tomorrow), they would all move immediately against Israel, even if no one would really want to be the first.
“I do not know what form it would take, be it sanctions, nor even the promulgation of chapter 7 (of the United Nations Charter, authorizing immediate intervention), but it would be fast.” – Ori Goldberg
What would happen regionally? Is Israel attacked, as he claims?
“I think that if you have suddenly withdrawn the United States from the equation, you would remove the greatest (obstacle) to a kind of regulation.
“The imperative of Israel to really integrate into the region will always be a priority of second or third level, because American support subscribes its ability to act with impunity, as we have seen vis-à-vis Palestinians, Lebanese and Syrians, etc.
“This idea that Israel is a step to be attacked is not the case and, would say, has not been the case for decades.
“The Syrian army is not currently due to Israel, which is countered because of the United States. They do not want to attack because they are not interested in more wars, they know that they would face massive resistance; The same goes for others. ” – Ha hellyer
What would happen financially?
“Israel is very dependent on the United States financially, but it would not collapse completely.
“Increasingly, Israel depends on the high-tech weapon sector, many of which the United States supports, in terms of help as well as almost unlimited R&D opportunities.
“But Israel is also based on the economic level of having the United States in its corner, such as a coach who waits with the towel (loan guarantees and other support mechanisms).
“I think that the loss of night of support in the United States would make things difficult, but it would not be immediate, until we can see massive layoffs in large technological companies and that soldiers are starting to vacillate.” – Ori Goldberg
What would happen in Israeli politics?
“Not as much as you think. The community of settlers of Israel is already raised to its own reserve. They will continue with what they see as their mission given by God, whatever happens.
“Netanyahu would probably also continue. He is not a magician.
“Of course, he was reciting it. He could say that the reason we attacked Gaza was so that we would never have to depend on another state again, but I think he would probably survive.” – Ori Goldberg
“America has really been the gift that continues to give, in particular Israeli law. If a democrat is in power, he can say: “Look to what extent we manage them.
“And if someone like Trump is in power, he can say,” Listen, we have to do something good: the United States agrees with us. “Anyway, they acquire legitimacy.
“Regarding its internal policy and treatment of Palestinians, the United States also gives absolute impunity to Israel. For example, his politicians can carry out a genocidal war against Gaza or encourage colonies without apparent cost.
“In any other company, this cost would come from other states, or from the moral compass of their own society. We do not seem to have none of them here. ” – Daniel Levy
What would happen to his soldiers?
“If the United States has disappeared tomorrow, Israel could probably maintain its war in Gaza for about a year, but its priorities would change because it has become much more vulnerable.
“For example, they would be very aware that each ball or bomb they used in Gaza was less for their own defense.
“Without the United States, the blocking of commercial satellites on which Israel is based to obscure its territory ended.
“The loss of the United States would also mean that Israel must go in search of other military suppliers, most likely NATO countries in Europe, because a large part of the equipment is compatible. However, Europe already having a deficit of weapons compared to what it considers as the threat of Russia, this will not happen quickly.
“Europe will also invoice Israel weapons which – as part of the current military aid program – the United States does not do so, so even if another country has intensified, Israel will not be able to afford to buy weapons on something like the scale it has.” – Hamze Attar
What would happen to Gaza and in occupied West Bank?
“I think that once the senior army levels have heard of what was going on, they would call on the war to end immediately.” – Ori Goldberg
“I think that the central bank and the army would almost immediately realize that they did not have arms or money to continue the war.
“After that, according to what other states do, both regionally and in the West, war would become politically and economically unbearable.” – Daniel Levy
“I guess they would adopt a relaxation scheme in Gaza and the West Bank, which ended time. Israel’s reputation in terms of international public opinion is already at the bottom of the rock, but American support has protected it from real international responsibility.
“Essentially, without the United States, Israel would be treated as an international state of pariah, such as apartheid South Africa. – Ha hellyer