The IMF raises its expectations for global growth to 3% in 2025 | economy

The International Monetary Fund raised its expectations for global growth – today, Tuesday, at a time when efforts to avoid the fees of (US President) Donald Trump, the customs of the customs, led to an increase in trade that exceeded expectations, while the latter retreated from some of his most severe threats.

However, the IMF still expects to slow down this year, although it has raised it for the current year to 3% compared to 2.8% last April, in the last report on “global economy prospects”.

During the year 2024, the global growth rate was 3.3%.

Global economy growth in 2026

The International Monetary Fund expects the global economy to record a growth of 3.1% next year, in a improvement in the 3% that it expected previously.

The French Press Agency quoted the chief economist of the Monetary Fund, Pierre-Olivier Gouransha, as saying that despite raising expectations, “caution must be taken.”

“The commercial companies were trying to develop pre -strategies and move before imposing fees, and this is what supported economic activity … there will be a reflection of that. If she filled the shelves now, you will not need to store materials later during the next year or next.”

This means that commercial activity will probably decline in the second half of this year, and with the entry of the year 2026.

The IMF report stated that “the global economy remained steadfast, but the components of the activity indicate disturbances caused by customs duties, not to underlying durability.”

Since his return to the White House, Trump has imposed 10% customs duties on almost all his country’s commercial partners and increased fees on cars, steel and aluminum.

But he postponed the imposition of higher fees – on dozens of economies – a deadline until the first of August next April, when it was revealed for the first time.

Washington and Beijing agreed to reduce mutual fees that exceeded 100% and which the two countries intend to impose on each other’s imports in a decision that expires on August 12, although negotiations that may lead to extending a step are still ongoing.

The Monetary Fund said that Trump’s moves raised so far the actual customs duties rate in the United States to 17.3%, which is much higher than those approved in the rest of the world (3.5%).

The most prominent expectations

These are the most prominent expectations of the International Fund for the growth of the most prominent economies:

• The Fund expected Saudi economy to grow 3.6% this year from 3% was expected last April.
• The fund raised its expectations for the growth of the eurozone economy to 1% from 0.8%, which was expected before.
• The IMF increased its expectations for the growth of the US economy to 1.9% in 2025 from 1.8% expected in April.
• The Fund expected the German economy to grow 0.1% compared to 0% 0% expected.
• The fund increased its expectation of China’s economy to 4.8% from 4% expected in April.