[rewrite this title For these reasons, Netanyahu wants to continue the war 12 months policy ]

The past days and weeks have witnessed an important movement, in an attempt to resume the outstanding negotiations between Hamas and the Israeli occupation, after Netanyahu’s coup against the ceasefire agreement signed on January 17, and the development of his perception of stopping the aggression on Gaza by stipulating the handing over of the prisoners, disarming the resistance, re -spreading the occupation army inside the sector, and redrawing the future of the sector according to these conditions, which may open The door to the sustainability of the occupation and the implementation of the idea of ​​displacement.

In front of this wall of incapable Israeli conditions, Hamas presented the proposal of the comprehensive package, which means the launch of all prisoners at once, provided that a permanent ceasefire, the full withdrawal from the sector, the opening of the crossings to enter aid and the start of reconstruction with its approval of the Palestinian technocrats committee to manage the sector according to the Egyptian proposal.

Try to move stagnant water

The Hamas movement, and its leadership council headed by Mohamed Darwish, crossed shuttle visits and important meetings in Doha, Ankara and Cairo, in an attempt to advance the negotiations based on the proposal (the comprehensive package), which intersects with the desire of the majority of Israeli public opinion, and the vision of the American administration expressed by the American President’s envoy for American Prisoner Affairs Mr. Adam Bouler.

This political effort of the movement led to the discussion of the Qatari Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdul Rahman Al Thani, during his visit to Washington, the file of ceasefire negotiations and the introduction of aid to Gaza, where US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Trump Envoy Mr. Steve Witkev met.

Parallel to that, Ankara made an effort to direct contacts with the American administration, to pressure in order to introduce aid and move the stagnant water to the negotiations. A few days later, President Trump came out and stated that he had contacted Binthanaho and asked him to enter aid and medicines to Gaza.

In this context, Netanyahu made two steps:

1- Discussing the introduction of aid with his government at the request of the American President:

Where the government’s discussions emerged in the discussions; The first is for the Israeli army to carry out the distribution of aid, and this opinion has adopted the Minister of Finance Smotrich to implicate the army in the future of Gaza, and the second opinion revolves around the finding of a third party (an American company) operating under the eye of the army and the Israeli security services, and distributes aid in the Morag axis between Rafah and Khan Yunis.

There are ideas about making the city of Rafah the Khayyam area to accommodate the displaced, under the control of the Israeli army, which is the practical city between the Salah al -Din axis in the south with Egypt, and the Morag axis separating Rafah and the city of Khan Yunis in the north.

The danger of converting the city of Rafah into an isolated and devoted tents for the displaced, and a source of aid distribution under the supervision of the occupation army; This will lead to the sorting of the Palestinians security, and the arrest of the occupation who wants under the sword of the need for aid, not to mention the human suffering of all residents of the sector deployed in the center and the north.

On the other hand, this perception is intended to close the door for the United Nations and international organizations, and prevent it from playing its relief role.

The most dangerous thing is that the occupation bombed this area, after the civilization of civilians, and pushing them strongly to go towards the Egyptian Sinai.

2- Sending the head of Mossad David Bernie to Doha, and sending the Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer to Cairo:

It seems that these meetings did not lead to a practical result, as the Israeli side remained insisting on not stopping the war on Gaza, and this is what the Prime Minister of Qatar, Minister of Foreign Affairs Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdul Rahman Al Thani, indicated during his press conference with Turkey’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Doha, when he said that Hamas has a proposal and conditions, and Netanyahu rejects these conditions, and he wants the prisoners, but he does not have a vision of the end of the war on Gaza.

What indicates that Netanyahu sent his messengers to Doha and Cairo to vent the internal and external pressure, and to consume energy and time without reaching an end.

War and elections

In front of this intransigence in the path of negotiations, the Israeli media leaked by an Israeli official that the war will continue until October, and the Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer stated that the war on Gaza will end within 12 months.

These leaks and statements, in the event of their accuracy, mean that the Prime Minister of the occupation Benjamin Netanyahu intends to continue the aggression on Gaza until before the Israeli parliamentary elections expected to be held in the middle of the year 2026, with the aim of seeking to achieve one of two things:

• Working to defeat the resistance and surrender the Palestinians, allowing it to declare absolute victory.
• He drew the future of the Gaza Strip, as it wants, starting from the re -occupation of the Strip to the displacement of the Palestinians, with an American cover.

If he does not succeed in defeating the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, which is the most likely matter after this cohesion and legendary steadfastness in more than 18 months, then he may resort to negotiations for the ceasefire, and marketing this in front of the Israeli public opinion; That the negotiations came after the elimination of the Palestinian resistance and the Al -Qassam Brigades, and that Gaza is no longer a threat to Israel, and that it achieved the goals of the war.

In both cases, either scenario, as a lever, will be used in the hands of the parliamentary elections, either by declaring absolute victory, or that he achieved the Israeli public opinion his desire to stop the war and restore the prisoners.

The scene seems somewhat sterile and mysterious, compared to the difficulty of controlling the path and results of the continuation of the aggression on Gaza until the end of this year, especially if the resistance succeeds in depleting the Israeli occupation army, which suffers from exhaustion, and suffers from a numerical deficiency, where about 50% of the reserves refuse to return to the fighting in Gaza, not to mention the increase in the Israeli public opinion rejecting the war for fear of killing the prisoners, and that The war has become a personal interest of Netanyahu for his sustainability in power, not a war for Israel.

This, at a time when military confrontations may erupt, or the level of tension between Israel and Syria increases against the background of the continued occupation of Israel, Syria’s lands, inciting a stream of Druze to rebel armed against Damascus, and supporting any other separatist groups; In order to weaken Damascus to keep its control over southern Syria with a minimum, a behavior that also does not like Turkey, which links its national security with the stability of Syria and its territorial integrity.

This context, in which the events accelerate in a state of ambiguity in Syria and Lebanon, and Yemen continues to engage with the American navy and its chain of transmission to Gaza, and Iran, which is still negotiating Washington on its nuclear program, and other events that may suddenly grow, makes the occupied Israeli ability to control fate a matter of doubt, not everyone who ignites a war that can control its outputs and results, and Israel is not exception.