Occupied Jerusalem- In the midst of US President Donald Trump’s visit to the Middle East, Israeli analysts and national security research centers in Tel Aviv have shed light on radical transformations in the priorities of US policy in the region.
These analyzes indicate that the Trump administration seeks to reshape the regional system to serve the interests of Washington, and enhance its influence through new alliances, most notably the alliance with Saudi Arabia, while Israel has declined as a central strategic partner.
Despite the previously prevailing perception of a political “honeymoon” between Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, analysts in Israel unanimously agree that this relationship witnessed a “rapid mute”, and is currently going through an “unannounced” crisis, and they see that Netanyahu is an obstacle to American efforts to re -draw the map of alliances in the Middle East, due to his adherence to strict positions and his refusal to completely obey the directions Washington.
Netanyahu is an obstacle
In an article entitled “The Trump administration wants a new Middle East, and it feels that Netanyahu is standing on its way” – published by Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper – political analyst deals with Nadaf Eyel the deterioration of the relationship between Washington and Tel Aviv, noting that “the honeymoon” between Trump and Netanyahu has ended.
According to Eyal, the Trump administration is seeking to form a new regional system, but it considers the policies of the Netanyahu government as an obstacle to this goal. And Trump, who aspires to achieve a great achievement during his visit to the region, as detained liberation, believes that “Netanyahu does not keep pace with the variables, and adheres to the positions exceeding time.”
On the other hand, Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia and Qatar have an official oil that reflects a growing rapprochement with Washington, while the relationship with Israel is going through tension and re -position. Although the scene is constantly changing, the ambiguity is greeted with the future of this alliance.
“Israel is preparing to carry out a massive military operation in Gaza as part of a new plan that includes a partial occupation and an attempt to liberate hostages,” Eyal says, relying on reserve soldiers to compensate for the deficiency in the regular army, and adds, “Despite the military bets, Hamas is not about to surrender.”
The analyst concludes that the relationship between Trump and Netanyahu remains fragile, and can be recovered or collapsed, at a time when Washington is seeking to draw new Middle East features, even if this requires that historical partners such as Israel.
The goals of the visit
Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia bears economic and strategic connotations, as it focuses on strengthening economic partnership, signing major defense agreements, and cooperation in the areas of traditional and nuclear weapons, which reflects Washington’s pursuit to consolidate the role of Riyadh as a pivotal ally in the new regional system that the US administration is working to form.
In this context, Israeli analysts believe that Trump – with his unexpected personality and volatile statements – looks at the issues of the Middle East with a purely commercial logic, as it gives priority to direct American interests, and does not hesitate to pressure the closest allies if their positions contradict his vision.
It seems that the American administration no longer considers Israel, specifically the Netanyahu government, the most reliable partner in the implementation of this vision, but rather it is viewed as a party that must be subject to American directives, not the opposite.
Analysts believe that Trump is seeking through the visit to achieve a tangible achievement, such as the liberation of detainees or to reach a symbolic agreement, to strengthen his image as a commander of a deals maker, but achieving this requires greater flexibility than Israel, which is difficult to achieve in light of Netanyahu’s adherence to his positions, despite the increasing American pressures.
In his article entitled “Trump’s visit to the region begins in the wrong foot for Netanyahu,” Yossi Verter, a party affairs analyst in the Haaretz newspaper, pointed out that Trump’s visit comes at a sensitive time for Netanyahu, especially after the American agreement with the Houthis and the Saudi nuclear agreement, which reflects a shift in the region.
Vertire believes that Netanyahu is in the case of a “political vacuum”, and does not care about the fate of the detainees in Gaza as much as the Israelis reassure in his daily statements, while issues such as the prisoner deal and the ceasefire remain unclear.
Verter believes that the major questions for the Israelis are related to if what Trump’s visit would have resulted in tangible or just promises, and indicates that the latter’s hints about expanding.Abraham Conventions“Other issues may be marginalized.
Despite the tensions, Vertire believes that there is no need to rush to announce the end of the relationship between Trump and Netanyahu, each of them is driven by his support for a similar mass base, although this relationship may not bode a good future. As Trump entered his second presidency, he became clear from Netanyahu, and the two parties may try to improve the relationship with the approaching elections, but things are always going unexpectedly.
Frauded transformations
In conclusion, Israeli estimates reflect a state of escalating anxiety about the position of Israel in the new American strategy, which appears to be transporting the center of gravity towards the Persian Gulf, specifically Saudi Arabia, which may lead to long -term strategy transformations in the balance of regional powers.
These developments, according to the National Security Research Center at Tel Aviv University, show a major shift at the Israel site within the American relations in the region.
The center was estimated by a position entitled “between the nuclear agreement and the military attack on Iran – towards decisiveness”, prepared by researchers, Tamir Heman and Razza Timit, and dealt with the future of the Iranian nuclear program in light of the talks that started in April 2025 by the Sultanate of Oman, between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqji and the American envoy Stephen Whitchov.
The estimate believes that these talks represent a detailed moment that may lead to either a diplomatic agreement that protects the region from escalation, or to a joint US -Israeli military intervention, if negotiations fail to prevent Iran from approaching nuclear weapons.
Despite the preference of Tehran and Washington to the political path, the estimate confirms that in the event of resorting to the military option, Israel should coordinate its steps with America, to ensure deterrence, reduce the repercussions of the attack, and contribute to thwarting any Iranian attempt to rebuild the nuclear program.
The research center also stresses the need for the attack to be part of a broader campaign that is not limited to nuclear facilities only, but also includes undermining Iran’s regional influence and restricting its missile program, and believes that military success must be completed with a political path that establishes strategic goals and prevents renewed threats in the future.