Beirut- Hours before the Lebanese Cabinet session scheduled for tomorrow, Tuesday, attention will be directed to the government palace in Beirut amid a political and security climate, and internal and external anthropology for the decisions of the session, especially with regard to the fate of Hezbollah’s weapon and possible executive mechanisms to withdraw it.
The upcoming session comes in light of increasing international pressure, which reached its climax during the past days, which gave the political and diplomatic scene an emergency character that may accelerate the formulation of decisive trends.
According to Al -Jazeera Net information, contacts did not calm down between the three presidencies (the presidency of the republic, the government and parliament), and includes channels of communication with Hezbollah, in an attempt to create an appropriate atmosphere for the session.
But the fog still dominates the potential outputs of the session, amid the circulation of multiple scenarios, most notably the re -emphasis on the contents of the department’s speech to President Joseph Aoun, and the ministerial statement of the government of President Nawaf Salam regarding the restriction of weapons in the hands of the state, with the possibility of assigning the Supreme Council of Defense to prepare an executive plan that translates these obligations into practical steps.
As for the most urgent question, it revolves around the Shiite ministers’ position, specifically whether they will participate in the session or boycott it, in light of the confirmed absence of two ministers for their presence outside the country.
A detailed decision
In this context, the Lebanese journalist Alain Sarkis confirms in his interview with Al -Jazeera Net that the upcoming cabinet session represents a detailed station in Lebanon’s political history, as it is raised for the first time since the Taif Agreement is the issue of Hezbollah’s weapon directly at the government table.
Sarkis believes that this fundamental transformation came after the “historic” speech of the President of the Republic on the Army Day, in which he clearly called for the party to surrender its weapon, and called it by name, in a step that expresses a change in the internal political climate, as it began to crystallize an increasing conviction that weapons should be restricted to the Lebanese army in light of the escalating Arab and international pressure pushing in this direction.
It indicates that the data on the eve of the session confirms that the President and his ministers, along with the Prime Minister, the Lebanese forces, its allies, and the Progressive Socialist Party, stand in one political trench, and they communicate to coordinate positions and steps, which means that the majority of the components of the government have supported the principle of disarmament of Hezbollah.
On the other hand, Sarkis pointed to a different position by Hezbollah and the Amal Movement, as the intention was heading towards boycotting the session, but the attendance decision was not decided yet.
However, Sarkis believes that the Shiite duo avoids until the hour to go to a direct confrontation with the internal, Arab and international legitimacy, especially in light of the rapid regional changes and the party’s losses in the recent war, whether at the level of leaders -with the former Secretary -General Hassan Nasrallah -or in the level of supply lines in Syria, not to mention the strikes that Iran recently received.
Sarkis adds that these regional and military transformations have been strongly reflected on the Lebanese interior, and they may leave their mark on tomorrow’s session.
On the expected mechanisms, Sarkis reveals a tendency with the President of the Republic to call for the meeting of the Supreme Council of Defense with the participation of the relevant ministers and security services, to develop an executive plan and a timetable for receiving Hezbollah’s weapons, along with all other Lebanese “militias” on the lands of Lebanon.
Complex options
On the other hand, political analyst Ibrahim Haider believes in an interview with Al -Jazeera Net that the results of the Lebanese Cabinet session scheduled tomorrow, Tuesday, are still not settled, in light of a fog that surrounds its path and its outputs, especially with regard to the item of inventory of weapons in the hands of the state.
Haider notes that the communications are still active between the presidents in parallel with a mediation led by the Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri with Hezbollah, in an attempt to crystallize the form of the government avoiding the political explosion and maintaining the content of the session.
In his opinion, the expectations tend to reach a settlement, as efforts are focused in the last hours to find a way out that ensures the continuation of the government and avoiding escalation.
Haider excludes the issuance of a clear decision on the session on a timetable for withdrawing weapons, due to the sensitivity of the file and the severe division on it, which makes it insisting on it with risks that may reach the overthrow of the government.
The session describes it as “primary but pivotal”, as it constitutes an early test of the government’s direction to deal with the weapon file in the next stage.
He adds that Hezbollah is still adhering to its absolute rejection of any discussion related to the withdrawal or rationalization of weapons, and the meetings between it and the President of the Republic have failed to reach a clear understanding on it.
On the other hand, Haider indicates an increasing American pressure on the Lebanese government, which was a new response delivered by the American embassy, expressed a noticeable militancy in the situation regarding the Lebanese paper.
He continues that the American response focused on two points:
- The need for Lebanon to adhere to a clear time period to engage in a negotiating path to demarcate borders.
- Or bearing the consequences of the next stage if it is not possible.
Haider concluded that tomorrow’s session, despite its symbolism and its political importance, does not rise to the ranks of the “fateful session”, as it is not expected to be decided by the major contentious files, led by the timetable for the withdrawal of Hezbollah’s weapon.
#Hezbollah Party It declares refuses to hand over the resistance weapon #Al -Jazeera #Lebanon Evening pic.twitter.com/47tpoqDodi
– Al -Jazeera Mubasher (@ajmubasher) July 27, 2025
Constitutional consensus
For his part, the editor -in -chief of the Lebanese newspaper, Salah Salam, believes in an interview with Al -Jazeera Net that the prescribed session has a consensus between the three presidents: the President of the Republic, the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the head of the government, and it is expected that the ministers of Amal movement will participate in it, with the issuance of a decision confirming the inventory of weapons in the hands of the state.
Salam notes that the session will not address any specific timetable for implementing this decision, which despite its importance, it is not considered sufficient from the point of view of the American paper or within the framework of the ongoing negotiations with Washington, but it constitutes a first step on the path of stabilizing the principle of arms inventory to the Lebanese state in an official, legal and constitutional manner.
He continues that with regard to the implementation mechanism, it is likely that it will be presented during the upcoming negotiations between the Presidency of the Republic and the leadership of Hezbollah in an effort to reach an agreement that defines a clear timetable.
In this context, the question remains about the mechanisms that will be dependent on both sides of the border, and whether it will include simultaneous steps that include Israeli withdrawal and the release of prisoners, in addition to the surrender of Hezbollah.
