Occupied Jerusalem- While the Israeli security establishment Preparing To announce its intention to move to the third phase of the war on Gaza, and hours before the army announced the imposition of control over Al-Shuja’iya neighborhoodThe Palestinian resistance factions fired a missile attack towards…Tel Aviv Al-Kubra” in a message refuting the occupation’s narrative regarding the conduct of the war and its failure to achieve its declared goals.
The launching of this large batch of missiles carried with it messages indicating that the occupation army’s control over northern Gaza is alleged and divorced from reality.
It also casts doubt on the veracity of the Israeli army’s story about being close to eliminating the resistance’s missile arsenal and causing significant damage to the military capabilities of the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) in the Gaza Strip.
This large missile attack comes at a time when the political level and the Israeli security establishment are considering moving to the third phase of the fighting in the Gaza Strip.
Command and control
It is expected that the occupation army will announce “the elimination of many Hamas brigades, the liberation of some reserve forces, and the redeployment of forces in the security belt that will be established inside the Strip, while maintaining military operations in Khan Yunis.”
The Israeli army faces two options to implement the third phase, says Amir Bouhbut, a military analyst on the website. “Otherwise, the first is the withdrawal of all forces from the cities of the Gaza Strip,” and “organizing in a security sector and leaving there to carry out specific and specific operations.”
The second option, according to the military analyst, “is a partial withdrawal from the Gaza Strip with part of the forces remaining in the central camps and Khan Yunis, destroying the terrorist infrastructure and continuing efforts to free the kidnapped.”
While the occupation army’s approach – moving to the third phase, demobilizing some reserve forces, and deploying to the security fence area without ground military operations being able to liberate the Israeli detainees – reflects that Hamas is still in control and in control.
In an indication of this, Hamas is imposing conditions and facts on the ground, specifically with everything related to the course of negotiations for the possibility of reaching a long-term ceasefire and a new exchange deal, according to journalist Elior Levy, political affairs correspondent for the official Israeli television, “Kan 11.”
Levy believes that the large missile attack is also part of the negotiations for a possible exchange deal, pointing out that the Israeli establishment is currently discussing additional proposals that would persuade Hamas to back down from its demands for a complete ceasefire, and provide the opportunity to make progress that would lead to a deal to release Israeli detainees.
It is believed that the one who has the final say on everything related to the exchange and truce deal is the head of the movement, Yahya Al-Sinwar, and the commander-in-chief of the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades, Muhammad al-Deif.
No concessions
Levy pointed out that the statements of the spokesman for the military wing of Al-Qassam, which followed the missile attack towards “Greater Tel Aviv,” were a direct message from Sinwar that Hamas is not ready to make concessions.
Commenting on Al-Qassam continuing to fire rocket salvoes deep into Israel 76 days after the war, the military correspondent for Israeli Channel 13, Alon Ben David, wrote two articles entitled “The child must be called by his name: We are not close to destroying Hamas,” indicating that the goals of the war The announcement to undermine the missile and military arsenal has failed and that destroying Hamas will take a long time.
At the end of this week, Ben David says, “The Israeli army is very close to declaring the defeat of Hamas in the entire northern Gaza Strip. This means that the movement’s two divisions operating in this area, along with their battalions, have stopped working as fighters and most of the area has become uninhabitable.”
But the military correspondent confirms, “This does not mean that there are no longer militants in this area or Hamas’s physical infrastructure. It exists and will remain so. But today it is possible to travel from Zakim or Bari to the center of Gaza City in a vehicle that is not heavily armored.”
However, the military correspondent adds, “We are not close to achieving the two main goals: releasing the kidnappers and destroying Hamas’ military, missile and governmental power.”
He continues, “The subjugation of Hamas in the northern Gaza Strip is a major military achievement after two months of ground maneuvers, and was achieved by paying a heavy price. However, this does not cause optimism, as undermining and destroying Hamas is still a long way off.”
In the same context, Ben David explained that the Israeli army knew that Gaza City and its environs were a fortified area with extensive infrastructure and an underground tunnel network, but he did not guess or estimate the size of this fortification, saying, “Day after day, during the ground maneuver, the Israeli forces are surprised to discover the extent of “The massive underground combat tunnels and command complexes.”
Lack of trust and security
In a reading of the conflict that opened wide after the Battle of Al-Aqsa Flood, Yuval Arad – the head of the Kochav Yair settlement established on the June 4 border – believes that next October 7 may arrive from Qalqilya and Tulkarm.
The events of “Black Saturday” on October 7 and the war that broke out in its wake, Arad says, “created a complete lack of confidence among the Israeli public in the means of defense existing within Israel’s borders, and fundamentally undermined the population’s sense of security.”
Yuval Arad adds, “As the fighting continues on the Gaza and Lebanon fronts, the residents of Gush Dan, east of Sharon (Greater Tel Aviv), feel increasingly distressed by the terrifying scenarios.”
In his article on the Walla website, Arad reviewed the horror scenarios among the residents of “Greater Tel Aviv” and the adoption of the model of Hamas’ attack tunnels opposite the “Gaza envelope” settlements.
The same spokesman said, “Only 300 meters separate Kochav Yair-Tzur Yigal and Qalqilya. Recently, residents reported suspicious drilling sounds near their homes, and expressed their fear of an attack tunnel starting in the Palestinian city.”
Arad added, “In order for us not to wake up surprised in the face of a deadly attack, Israel must recalculate and examine these 300 meters that separate Qalqiliya and Kochav Yair, or between Tulkarm and Bat Hefer, as if they were hundreds of meters between Jabalia, Bari, Kfar, and Gaza. Only then can we regain a sense of security.” “Which we lost on October 7th.”