Early federal elections will be held in Germany next February. The weakening of the coalition formed by Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s SPD, the Greens and the FDP liberals has changed the electoral dynamic.
Germany is heading towards new federal elections on February 23 in a fragmented political landscape since the collapse of the government alliance and a tense electoral campaign context, particularly linked to Elon Musk’s potential interference in the election And the billionaire’s stated support for the AfD.
The CDU/CSU in the favorite position
The polls give the conservatives of the CDU/CSU favorites.
The far-right AfD party is now the second largest opposition force and continues to gain ground, with Alice Weidel running for chancellor. The AfD, however, remains isolated, with other political groups refusing any coalition with the party.
On the far left, the newly formed BSW by Sahra Wagenknecht is trying to rally disappointed voters to its cause, further dividing the political field.
The Green Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck has joined the race for chancellordespite the fragile position of the Greens.
The FDP’s stay in the Bundestag uncertain
For the moment, no party comes close to an absolute majority.
Polls put the CDU/CSU in a better position to lead a coalition, likely with the Greens or SPD, with the FDP at risk of falling below the 5% vote threshold needed to gain seats in the Bundestag.
In a context of economic stagnation and social tensionsthe voters’ dissatisfaction with the current coalition is obvious and the German proportional system in any case suggests important negotiations to succeed in forming a stable government.