The confusion, alongside the exaltation, reigns in the public and political class of Israel which remains uncertain of what the comments of the President of the United States, Donald Trump, on Gaza means.
For extreme factions on the right and ultra-Orthodox of Israeli policy, the idea is logical-that the population of Gaza is moved to make way for the United States to supervise a kind of reconstruction which they suppose to be ultimately for the people of Israel.
Some analysts, however, have seen the dysfunction of Trump’s explosive remarks on the land to which he did not claim and which is inhabited by his people, stressing that such a brute force could just as easily be applied to the Israelis in the illegal establishments everywhere in the Palestinian West Bank.
An Israeli chain survey has shown that 72% of Israelis liked the idea of US President Donald Trump that the United States controlled the Gaza Strip, only 35% thought it would be implemented.
Observers through Israeli politics are not just as clear.
Promises
The conviction that Palestine is of Israel by a kind of divine law has been the declared justification for the actions of politicians such as the Minister of Finance of “Fascist Homophobic”, Bezalel Smotrich, the provocative on the right and the former minister of national security Itamar Ben-Gvir, and the settlers of movements such as Nachala, which organized a conference in January of last year to discuss the colonization of Gaza.
The ceasefire agreement, which meant that Israel should stop bombing Gaza, disappointed the extreme right which seemed to want the attack to continue until Israel could claim the enclave.
In the preparation of the signing of the agreement on January 17, Smotrich and Ben-Gvir threatened to resign from the government to objection to its conditions.
Only Ben-Gvir resigned, but he left behind his Otzma Yehudit party in the govering coalition, making his performative movement appear to many observers.
Smotrich was “convinced” to remain in exchange for Netanyahu’s insurance that he did not intend to honor the agreement signed with Hamas and would resume the war once the first step is over.
Aspirations
At first glance, Trump’s bizarre idea seems to offer the final goal of controlling Gaza on the far right.
“Trump went much further than anyone waiting,” an Israeli and former senior political assistant in Tel Aviv Tribune Mitchell Barak told Tel Aviv Tribune Barak.
“In the short term, what Trump has delivered is better than what Smotrich and Ben-Gvir could have hoped.”
Ben-Gvir quickly said that the possibility of ethnically Gaza cleaning could be enough to persuade him to forget the past grievances and return to government.
“We have a huge opportunity and we should not miss it,” he told Galey Israel Radio on Wednesday. “There were those who worked there in Israel well before and won nicknames like” Messianic and Deliri delusional “.”
Nachala claimed to prepare to grasp Gaza as soon as his people, under the terms stated by Trump, was ethnically cleaned.
However, Barak stressed: “They (very right of Israel) will not decide how this thing will end; Trump will, and part of his plan is to find a solution to the Palestinians. This could still involve a kind of solution to two states, “referring to the creation of a Palestinian state alongside Israel.
“If Trump has the power to depopulate Gaza, he also has the power to move the Israelis of the colonies,” said Barak.
Confusion
There were not many details in Trump’s remarks.
He did not say if he pleaded to ransack American policy of decades to seek a solution to two states for Palestine, if he suggested a temporary ethnic cleaning of Gaza, or how his idea was sitting in the ceasefire The three-phase, carefully negotiated carefully negotiated carefully negotiated carefully negotiated carefully negotiated. agreement.
Times reports and other points of sale have suggested that large parts of Trump’s announcement seem to have been made without the prior consultation of aids or allies, representing a large part of the international reaction of the States which do not know his proposals, and the rapid warning of the president’s president of the secretary of state Marco Rubio and the spokesman for the White House, Karoline Leavitt, who said that the president’s proposals were temporary and did not represent not an American military commitment to Gaza.
“Let’s say that we take Trump seriously,” the former Israeli ambassador and government advisor Alon Pinkas said in Tel Aviv Tribune.
“Israel must engage in the agreement and see it until the least the second phase (when the transfer of the population could take place).
“Now, let’s say right?” Hamas still has no incitement to stay with the ceasefire. They and everyone in Gaza, every 2.3 million, will be expelled anyway. Where is their motivation to stay with the ceasefire agreement?
“Ben-GVir, Smotrich and others are at least clear in what they want (Ethnic Cleaning of Gaza). They do not bother with dark concepts, such as international law, which Netanyahu must do, “he said about the lip service paid to international standards by the Israeli Prime Minister.
Spoilers
If the United States ethnically cleanse Gaza, even temporarily, Smotrich, Ben-Gvir and its allies would feel closer to their hope for a long time to colonize it that they have never been before.
If, as Pinkas suggests, Trump’s intervention leads to the collapse of the ceasefire, they obtain at least the return to war that they supported for 15 months of carnage without restriction.
In both cases, Netanyahu would probably emerge stronger, either by a unified and combined cabinet, is as a war chief, defending what he supervises as “Jewish homeland”.
Even the threat of a first election, Barak suggested, can play at the end of the Prime Minister.
“New elections would make the whole government a transition,” he said, referring to the various challenges that the government is faced in addition to the potential threat posed by its right, such as the upcoming budget and the debate on The writing of the ultra-Orthodox of Israel, “which means that he would not have to overcome any of these obstacles. All that gives time to Netanyahu is always good for him. He has already done that before before .
“By putting the transfer plan on the table, Trump pushed Ben-Gvir and Smotrich much closer to Netanyahu,” said Nimrod Flashenberg, Israeli political analyst, about Netanyahu’s recent challenges.
“Ben-Gvir said that it brought him closer to return to government and Smotrich said that this declaration makes preservation of the government more critical,” he continued, referring to his declared will to support the government through the Less the phase II of the three-phase ceasefire if the end of the game is the ethnic cleaning of Gaza.