Kiev- Over just 6 months, the “transformations” of US President Donald Trump has multiplied against the Russian war file on Ukraine, from Moscow’s understanding of resentment of Russian President Vladimir Putin, and the reprimand of Ukrainian President Foludmir Zellinski and his “humiliation” in the White House to sympathy for the Ukrainians.
The last week has witnessed a new and large shift in Trump’s position after a connection to Putin and Zelinski, who described the last talks as “the best since he took power.”
Many Ukrainians ask today, “Did Trump have recently seen the truth of the truth?”, Alerting his “important announcement” about Russia next Monday, and they expect harsh sanctions on Moscow, at the very least.
The last opportunity
According to officials, including German counselor Friedrich Mertz, the opportunities for a diplomatic solution faded. According to observers, Trump is now aware of this fact after Putin gave a “last opportunity”.
From the point of view of the writer and political analyst, Vitaly Portnikov, Trump intentionally ignored the fact that Putin was mocking him, and he did not meet any of his requests in 5 consecutive phone conversations; Before the sixth conversation (last week), Putin made large concessions and signs, stopping the provision of Ukraine with weapons, and he exempted some Russian financial institutions partially from the sanctions.
He continued in an interview with Al -Jazeera Net, “Putin had to understand the American signal and respond constructively, as if he announced a temporary ceasefire, for example, or to show a preparation for serious negotiations in Istanbul; but instead launched a rapid and large attack on Ukraine, and this is why Trump was angry, he felt insulting and lacking Putin’s respect for him, who lost in my opinion a great opportunity that might be the last.”
According to Portnikov, if the Russian president does not realize quickly, he must “return to his senses”, and to present something to his American counterpart to prove his respect and cooperation, he will be in a truly enviable position, after “he threw himself from the window of available opportunities.”
In the opinion of others, Ukraine itself was able to persuade Trump to its ability to hit and weaken Russia, and the fact that Moscow will not respond to the calls of peace in the political ways it calls.
Convincing Trump
In an interview with Al -Jazeera Net, the strategic policy expert, Taras Zahuroudni, believes that Kiev managed to pressure and persuade Trump, especially after the “Spider Network” operation against Russian strategic airports at the beginning of last June. And that the West in general “always depends on the powerful people who are able to carry out their duties positively and benefit.”
Ukraine also responded – according to him – to the calls for negotiation, and hinted at the possibility of making concessions; She persuaded Trump that she wanted peace, and that Putin is deceiving and wanted to continue the war.
But others do not share this optimism, and do not believe that the American president will bias strongly to the ranks of Kyiv; Rather, they scream from time to time, “Do not be deceived by Trump and what he says.”
Among these former diplomats, Roman Bizmirrtney, who told Al -Jazeera Net, “Without exaggeration, Trump’s feelings are largely controlling his actions, and this is the secret of his transformations.
“Are the 10 Patriot missiles that the US President promised recently enough? Of course not. The rest will be the task of the German counselor who promised to buy it in favor of Kiev. This is the logic of Trump’s businessman who does not change,” Paissemirne says.
He believes that the United States will not be a reliable partner of Ukraine during the reign of Trump, or at least 2025, and indicates this by saying, “Trump criticized the 2025 plan document prepared by the American Heritage Foundation, and described its writers for the crashes; yet we see that his administration applies exactly what came in it.”
The former diplomat explained that the document explicitly indicates that Washington’s priorities in the area of the Indian and calm surroundings; And that China and Russia are a global threat, but Europe must deter Moscow according to the plan; The document does not specify Ukraine’s assistance as a priority here, and aid does not remain as a priority except with regard to the support of Israel only.
Cautious optimism
Whether the support continues during the Trump era or retreat, some of them see that the matter is no longer exclusively in the hands of the United States as it was, and that it is more related to the general trend of Western countries that look at Russia as a threat.
“There is no excessive optimism in relying on American support. How do we forget the headlines last week in the media” Trump drains Ukraine “,” the United States withdraws from the war.
However, Federinko believes that military aid to the international partners will not stop in the near future, and this has nothing to do with the opinion or position of a person or several people even, but rather reflects the general general position of the countries of the Western, especially the NATO member states (NATO).
In his opinion, Ukraine was comfortable after the decision to raise the defense spending within the alliance countries from 2 to 5%. He explains, “Simply, some European countries cannot invest in their defensive sector because there is no origin. This applies – for example – to Luxembourg and other small countries. In this case, these countries will resort to helping us and invest in our capabilities, as the first and most important wall that defends them.”
