About a year after the Israeli war on the Gaza Strip, Israel was unable to achieve any of its goals, and the more the war continued as it was, the more Israel sank into the mud of the Gaza Strip, which caused it heavy losses in lives and equipment.
The Rehabilitation Department of the Israeli Ministry of Defense receives, on average, more than a thousand new wounded every month, and more than 3,700 injured soldiers suffer from limb injuries, according to statistics from the occupation army last August.
While the death toll from the occupation army reached 690 soldiers and officers since the beginning of the war, including 330 in ground battles in the Gaza Strip.
According to statistics from the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades, the military wing of the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), last February, more than 1,108 Israeli vehicles have been destroyed since the beginning of the war on the Gaza Strip.
Before carrying out the operation to blow up communications equipment in Lebanon, the pressure on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, militarily and politically, was increasing, and the demonstrations taking place against him and his government and demanding a ceasefire agreement and prisoner exchange were at their peak.
Squares unit
The Gaza war was accompanied for the first time by the concept of unity of battlefields adopted by the resistance forces in the region, something that Israel and the West had never experienced before and which they sought to get rid of because of its major implications in the collective consciousness of uniting several fronts capable of inflicting major losses if not defeating Israel. And the Western alliance behind it.
Unlike previous rounds of fighting in which the Palestinians faced Israel alone, this time Hamas enjoys the support of the “axis of resistance.”
This multi-front conflict forced Israel to distribute its forces between the south and the north, which led to the evacuation of the Upper Galilee settlements, in addition to the stifling targeting of the port of Eilat, and attacks with missiles and drones from Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq.
Therefore, Israel and the United States sought to dismantle the unity of the arenas so that this matter would not be repeated later, which was evident through the American offers made to Lebanon during the shuttle tours made by the US President’s envoy, Amos Hockstein, to Beirut.
Escape north
Under these circumstances, and to draw attention away from Gaza and escape the pressure exerted on him by Hamas, Netanyahu found himself forced to head north and open a new front against Hezbollah, which adopted a trickle-down strategy in supporting the resistance in Gaza, a strategy that convinced Netanyahu and the United States behind him that the party and Iran They don’t want war.
The environment was ready for Netanyahu to bomb Lebanon under the goal of returning settlers to the north, reducing Hezbollah’s capabilities, and searching for an image of victory that might restore to Israel some of the response capacity it had lost and give Netanyahu back some of the face he had lost since the Al-Aqsa flood.
The urgency of the image of victory prompted Netanyahu and his army to quickly reveal their cards. The pager and walkie-talkie bombings came as a shock to Hezbollah and made Israel happy with what it had achieved. From the news leaked, these bombings were part of a long-term plan and Israel intended to activate them at the time of the battle with Hezbollah to constitute a blow to the party. During the battle.
Barely several days had passed since those bombings when the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasr, was assassinated, which was a shock to the party and its audience and affected the party and its leadership.
These developments prompted Netanyahu to say that “there is no place in the Middle East that Israel cannot reach, there is no place that we will not go to protect our people and protect our country.”
It seems that Israel was betting on a state of shock and confusion that might befall the party after all these strikes, and that the party would either react excessively and unleash everything it had on Israel and thus burn all its cards, or it would demand a retreat and a ceasefire.
However, anyone who follows the course of things after that notices that the party seemed to have absorbed the blow and adapted to it, especially after the speech of the party’s Deputy Secretary-General, Naeem Qassem, in which he said that “the party follows command and control according to its structure” and that there are alternatives for every “leader when he is injured.”
To demonstrate the party’s strength and cohesion, Qassem said that after the assassination of Nasrallah, resistance operations continued at the same pace and more, “and we struck Ma’ale Adumim and Haifa, and we continue the resistance.”
After the occupation claimed to have begun a ground operation in Lebanon, Hezbollah responded by bombing Tel Aviv with missiles, but the Iron Dome failed to confront them.
Apparently, the party wants it to be a long war with a slow and gradual escalation in order to have the opportunity to consolidate its ranks, compensate for its losses, and exhaust Israel.
Indicating that the party will continue its policy of unity in the areas, Qassem said, “We will not budge one iota from the positions of Sayyed Nasrallah.”
Iran.. Awakening from euphoria
Before Netanyahu and the Israeli army woke up from the euphoria of victory; The man appeared walking calmly in Tel Aviv to show that he does not suffer from pressure like the forces he is fighting.
But the surprise came through an Iranian bombardment of about 200 missiles that pushed the residents of Israel into shelters.
Which made many Israelis point out on social media that “October is our month of calamities. We have not forgotten after the seventh of last October, and today Hamas and Iran reminded us of it,” in reference to the shooting in Jaffa and the Iranian bombing.
Many observers believe that the Israeli response to the Iranian bombing will be met with waves of missiles and marches from Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen and Iran. Saeed Ziad, a strategic affairs analyst, asks: “What would Israel’s position be if it were subjected to a joint attack by Iran and Hezbollah?”
Whatever the course of events now; The war is still long and will not end soon, and the title of this stage will be “patience, steadfastness, tranquility, cold nerves, attrition, and the perpetuation of the battle,” according to many observers.
